The remaining five playoff places will be competed by Shandong, Jilin, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Guangzhou.
Author: Wang Hao
After the off-season of Spring Festival, CBA will reignite the war tonight. There are still the last 8 rounds left in the league. At present, the 6 teams ranked 8 to 13 are the most authentic. At most, there will be one team out of the two winning gaps. Who will “fall behind” in the final competition is undoubtedly a big highlight of the next game.
According to the new CBA rules this year, 12 teams will enter the playoffs, of which 5 to 12 teams need to play more elimination matches. At present, the league has been carried out for 38 rounds, and the strength of Guangdong and Liaoning is obviously higher than that of other teams. The championship runner in the regular season has been basically confirmed. The record of Shenzhen, Guangsha and Beijing is close. Although Xinjiang lags behind Beijing’s two wins, it has less matches and the opponents behind it are weak. These four teams will compete for the remaining two top four places, only in this way can we avoid playing one more round.
Fujian, currently ranked 7th, has a record of 22 wins and 16 losses, which is different from Shandong, which ranked 8th. In the last 8 rounds, only two opponents ranked higher than themselves, therefore, it is not difficult to keep the current ranking. The remaining five playoff places will be competed by Shandong, Jilin, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Guangzhou.
Shandong: play the normal level to enter the playoffs
Shandong currently ranks 8th in 20 wins and 18 losses, and will encounter North control in the last 8 rounds. In addition, it will face Tianjin, Qingdao and Shanxi, these teams are weak. Normally, it should not be a problem for Shandong to win. The two strong opponents are Guangsha and Beijing, but both of them are played at home in Shandong. It is worth noting that in the 42nd round, Shandong played at home against Jiangsu and was also a playoff contender. This game is likely to have an impact on the ranking of the two teams.
Generally speaking, Shandong can enter the playoffs as long as it plays its normal level. However, the state of Shandong occasionally experienced ups and downs. For example, in the 37-round away game, it lost to Bayi, which ranked second to the bottom, while in the next round, it won 22 points and ranked third in Shenzhen. To compete for a good ranking, Shandong must be more stable.
Jilin: it is hard to predict that the “giant killer” will move out
Jilin ranked 9th in 20 wins and 18 losses, and the last eight rounds seem to be a bit dangerous. Although they met Qingdao twice and played Bayi in one match, they won a lot, but from the 42 rounds, they successively encountered Guangdong, Liaoning and Beijing. In addition, they also played with Jiangsu, the two playoff ticket competitors in Guangzhou are facing up.
But Jilin is a well-deserved giant killer in this season. Guangdong, Liaoning, Shenzhen and Guangsha, which have defeated the top four, ended the 18-game winning streak in Guangdong by Jilin. Therefore, even if the book strength is not as good as the opponent, the result of the competition still has some suspense. The result of the competition with Jiangsu and Guangzhou may directly determine Jilin’s final ranking.
Shanghai: Looking around, they are all tough battles
Shanghai currently ranks behind Jilin with 19 wins and 19 losses. In the last eight games, only two of them are more sure. Among other opponents, Guangdong, Guangsha, Shenzhen and Fujian all ranked higher, and they also met Zhejiang and Guangzhou positively. For Shanghai, every game is a tough battle.
The main reason for Shanghai’s average performance this year is that the performance of domestic players is not satisfactory. The average scores of two foreign aid Fredette and Scola reached 57.6 points, however, Luo Hanchen, who scored the most in the average score of domestic players, also scored only 10.2 points. If you want to fight for playoff tickets or even a better ranking, there must be someone in Shanghai to stand up.
Zhejiang: the strong team Rulin is facing a severe test
Zhejiang and Shanghai have the same record, and Zhejiang has more strong teams in the last eight rounds. If you want to face Guangdong, Guangsha and Shenzhen away, you have to play Guangdong again at home. In addition, the matches with Shanghai and Guangzhou may not only determine the record, but also affect the relationship between wins and losses. Only the two matches with Sichuan and Bayi are relatively large. According to the book, Zhejiang has the risk of falling out of the top 12.
However, in the previous rounds, Zhejiang also defeated the teams with higher rankings such as Beijing and Fujian. In addition, Guangsha foreign aid forteson has committed four violations, and according to regulations, he should be suspended for one match. In the 39th round, facing Guangsha, which lacks futson, Zhejiang can fight.
Jiangsu: the game to win is Victory
Jiangsu is also 19 wins and 19 losses. Currently, it is 12 places, and the last eight rounds will face Sichuan and Tongxi, they will also encounter Bayi, and these opponents rank low. However, only Liaoning and Fujian are the rivals with higher ranking. Winning the game that should be won is a victory for Jiangsu.
In addition, the competition between Jilin and Shandong will be the top priority. Because the schedule has a certain advantage, we can try our best to strive for a higher ranking and avoid meeting strong teams ranked 5 or 6 in the elimination match of 12 to 8, then the winning and losing relationship with the remaining teams competing for playoff tickets is very important.
Guangzhou: The Devil needs to bite his teeth to resist
Guangzhou has the most severe situation among the six teams. The current record is 18 wins and 20 losses, ranking 13th, one or two wins behind the previous teams. Guangzhou will welcome Beijing in the 39th round, and then the competition between Shanxi and Qingdao will be regarded as a buffer. The last five rounds can be said to be devil’s schedule, facing Shenzhen, Shanghai, Guangsha, Zhejiang and Jilin continuously, it is either a strong team or a competitor in the playoffs, and the first three games are all away games, which is very difficult.
Guangzhou suffered a consecutive defeat in the previous four rounds. At present, the starting point is lower than that of other teams. The team must regain confidence as soon as possible, maintain continuous combat capability in the last five rounds, and try their best to win.